These types of intense boom-and-bust periods characterize the economies of todays world, and they appear to be unpredictable and unpreventable. In some cases, the rate increased during the Shemitah, while in other cases the increase occurred after the Shemitah year was over (in its wake). Thus, every year some seeds would drop to the ground during harvest and result in new plants growing the next year. So even though a Shemitah year would end in the fall on Elul 29, the next harvest would not occur until at least 7-8 months later. Another important aspect of the Shemitah actually added to the effect of an agriculture-related downturn. Welcome to our community. His writings and talks about the Shemitah are very interesting, and at least they should be read and understood by every Christian. How about a rest that lasts 12 months?. Why stocks. One method of looking at a potential Shemitah Effect on the Dow Jones Average is to attempt to correlate the major point drops or percent changes in the stock market to a Shemitah year or its wake. Its boring and time consuming, but the very episodes mentioned above may make it less boring. So you shall not wrong one another, but you shall fear your God; for I am the Lord your God.. Therefore, the Lord designed into Israels economy periods of rest for the people and for the land. According to the book of Leviticus, every set of seven Shemitahs was to be followed by a Year of Jubilee in which another major type of release was to take place. To detect a Shemitah Effect and see if it is broader than just its relationship to Israel, we need to first map out the times that correspond to the Shemitah years within the Jewish and Gregorian calendars. We are built to strive and struggle, to invest and innovate, to conceive and create for periods of around six years. As business picks up, people invest, share prices rise, people get excited and invest more, still more investors pile into the market, as everyone seems to me making loads of money so effortlessly; theres exhuberance and euphoria until a few smart alicks figure that assets are inflated way beyond their real values; euphoria gives way to doubt to anxiety to full blown panic; people runs for the hills, the cycle screeches into reverse, fortunes are lost and the whole thing starts all over again. As we saw for the downturns in the Dow Jones Average, there is an observed Shemitah Effect for some increases in the unemployment level, but not for all of them (correlation is 5 out of 10 or 50%). We actually cant tell from Cahns book if the Shemitah Effect really does exist or if it is rather that the global economy is so messed up and it collapses so often that sometimes a downturn just happens to correlate with a Shemitah year. Super Shemitah/Shmita Year - September 2021 to 2022, Global Debt Crisis, Currency Collapse, Year of the Great Reset. Note: Unlike Cahn and others who have considered the Shemitah Effect to mainly occur near the end of the Shemitah year or within 1 month of its end (i.e., the Elul-Tishri 2-month time period), this analysis considers the entire Shemitah year to be a time of potential economic downturn. Ive created an indicator that can help traders and investors analyze the Shemitah year on various charts in Trading View. The fears are paper tigers. This was before the war in Ukraine and the exponential price growth of several crucial commodities, which are all said to be consequences of the war. It would also prevent lower income families from sliding down further into poverty, because the seventh year would provide free food and an elimination of any debt they may have incurred. Because it aligns as well with the fact that September is known to be the worst month for stocks. Click the link in that email to complete registration so you can comment. There is always some rational, well-grounded economic reason why the current boom whether in South Sea stocks, internet companies or residential real estate will go on for ever and ever. Again, the Shemitah Effect appears to be real, but it cannot be used as an absolute predictor of future unemployment levels. German, Austro-Hungarian, The historical performance results for indices and index funds, used as proxies for indices, are provided exclusively for comparison purposes. Time Cycles Got It Right; What Do They Say Now? and yearsthe cycle of seven weeks (7x7) points to the 50th day - Pentecost. https://www.instagram.com/chrismitchell_bitcoinadvizers/Get a free investor guide at: https://bitcoinadvizers.com/ How to set up a Trading View for free: https://youtu.be/oEzxwWiQdCYTrading View Affiliate Discount Link: https://www.tradingview.com/gopro/?shAndroid link: https://play.google.com/store/apps/deIOS link: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/bitcoin ***NOT FINANCIAL, LEGAL, OR TAX ADVICE! Note: The people of Israel actually follow two yearly calendars. During that time we are apt to get energized, excited and sometimes completely carried away by the whole business. For every seventh cycle of shemita, it tells of a yubilee-year; a kind of a restart where, among other things, debts are to be erased. These downturns are likely due to the fact that the worlds economies are not run according to the way God intended them to be run, and therefore over time they become increasingly chaotic and unpredictable. Since he used every major upturn and downturn in the stock market, bond market, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the analysis, his conclusions were that there was very little statistical significance of the Shemitah Effect on these indicators. Not to plant on the 7th year The sabbatical year is one of rest, forgiveness, and reflection. understanding about current and future events. Moreover, the amplitude between the peaks and troughs is growing, meaning that the destructive power of the crashes is also growing. 1965-1966 Shmita Year - 23% stock market value wiped out. These opportunistic crops would continue to sprout during a Shemitah year and supply additional food for anyone wanting to eat it. He argues that shmita is the key to understanding the mysterious geo-political, economic and financial gyrations of our time. ET. When you are sowing the eighth year, you can still eat old things from the crop, eating the old until the ninth year when its crop comes in.. 1930-1931: The Great Depression, the worst financial crisis in human history. The Shmita Markets therefore adjust swiftly and efficiently when assets are mis-priced and so it is impossible, for mismatches between prices and real values to persist. God's calendar (opposite) intersects with two of our Gregorian years. Perhaps it was followed early in Israels history, during the time of the Judges and maybe during King Davids reign, but as Israel fell away from God with successive kings, the Shemitah was one of the first rules that fell away and was not fulfilled. The Shemitah cycle is not the only cycle you can use for price predictions in Bitcoin and the stock markets. Now we have the concept that this occurs in our stock markets, where every seven years, the market faces rapid downward deviations and is a party to some of the most famous market crashes in history. Unfortunately, some conclusions based upon Biblical cherry-picking often result in ideas that become so popular that overcoming them with real data is difficult. After dropping 33% in 2022, the Nasdaq Composite Index got off to a strong start in 2023, rising 17% between the start of the year and Feb. 2. towers fell. Table 1. Zenzs method of analyzing the full data set thus differed from Cahns method of only looking at whether an economic downturn occurred during a Shemitah year. If we continue the upwards trend entering 2021, approaching September we should pay attention. Through this and other laws, the Lord thus encouraged the people not to go into debt at all; however, if they did take a loan from another one of their Jewish brothers out of necessity, then the remaining unpaid debt would have to be forgiven at the end of the Shemitah year without requiring further payments or obligations. Yields on 30-year Treasuries jumped some 200 basis points in the first nine months of the year, hammering investors and financial firms, not to mention thrusting Mexico into crisis and bankrupting Orange County. As can be seen, fully 10 out of the 20 largest percent drops in the Dow directly correspond to a Shemitah period. This part of the Shemitah thus provided a cooling off period for Israels economy. Please note that the posts on The Blogs are contributed by third parties. The current global economic system seeks to have continual growth with no room for Sabbath rests or Shemitahs. Two of the three calendar patterns are bullish, including the one in which we put the most stock (pun intended): The Presidential Election Cycle. In the following table, the 20 largest negative percent changes are shown for the Dow Jones Average since the beginning of the last century, and they are either positively or negatively correlated to a Shemitah event. When ancient Israel uttered these prideful words God brought judgment upon the Many would say that this is because it cant. In fact, since 1950, the. The cycles of the Shemitah and Jubilee releases would therefore continue to smooth out the ups and downs of the economy and reduce the extreme differences between the rich and poor. On April 30, 1789 George Washington prophetically For instance, there were severe declines in the market in 1907 and 1929 (as a percent decline), but both of these occurred in the middle of a Shemitah cycle and not during the Shemitah year itself or during its wake. The US has inherited the Biblical blessings and curses. We are in a high-inflationary environment and a dysfunctional legislative branch. 150 South Fifth Street, Suite 1700Minneapolis, MN 55402, 2023 Time Cycles: Two Outta Three Aint Bad. There is basically no systematic effect. After falling about 50% in 2022, Nvidia 's (NASDAQ: NVDA) share prices . Enrol now and become a profitable trader! Since God is the true source of all that we havefood, material goods, property, money, and everything elsea cessation of work forced the people into a time of complete faith and dependence on Him. If Israel followed God in these things, then the Shemitah would bring a great benefit and blessing; essentially providing for each farming family a full year off every seven years from cultivating, planting, and harvesting. Thus, these are the Shemitah years which have occurred since the early 1900s: Shemitah Years2014-20152007-20082000-20011993-19941986-19871979-19801972-19731965-19661958-19591951-19521944-19451937-19381930-19311923-19241916-19171909-19101902-1903. Elul 29 could be interesting. This means, unfortunately that slumps and depressions are exaggerated in degree. Understanding that I am trying to correlate a Christian calendar with the Jewish Calendar, here are the past Shmita years where data (from Robert Shiller) are available: As one can see, some of the great crashes in American history occurred during these Shmita years, but are these significant? You shall not do any work; it is a sabbath to the Lord in all your dwellings.. (Its a translation with an introduction of part of Rav Kooks great book on Shmita, Shabbat Haaretz, since you are kind enough to ask.). Many other laws also have a universal connotation. In a personal communication with Adrian Zenz, he told me, from the empirical economic evidence it is impossible to demonstrate or prove a Shemitah effect, as shown also by the low explanatory power scores in my statistical testing, based on different Shemitah time periods. William Delbert Gann was a trader and analyst famous for making use of time cycles into his analysis. Yedidya Julian Sinclair works in the Israeli clean tech world. A detail, but relevant right now, as the US is about to erase student debt. Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost bankrupt. Maybe nothing goes down on that day. Thus, the Lord kept them away from their land in judgment for a full 70 years to allow the land to rest for the 70 Shemitahs that Israel ignored. Also, on the seventh year, all debts were to be forgiven (Deuteronomy 15:1-11). In 2012, the Christian Rabbi Jonathan Cahn published a book entitled The Harbinger: The Ancient Mystery That Holds the Secret of Americas Future (Frontline Pub Inc). Please try again or choose an option below. Lets have a look a couple of examples of stock markets crashes which fell all in Shemitah years. 2007-2008 Shmita Year - 50% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. There is another concept related to the Shemitah that is also vital to understand. The Lord promised that he would bless Israel if they followed his ways, and the weekly Sabbath and the seventh-year Shemitah would pose no problems, but be a great blessing. Looks like things are right on target. Israel has two calendars; religious and civil. In this article I want to have a look at the Shemitah Cycle also known as the 7-year cycle. Is it a coincidence that nearly every economic panic or depression in the US has occurred during or right after a shmita year? kill its unborn children (Abortion legalized). What Cahn called significant did not really have scientific significance when all the data points are considered and analyzed according to standard statistical methods. 9/11 and Global recession. For instance, in the following figure, the Dow Jones Industrial Average stretching from the year 1900 to the autumn of 2015 is mapped with the Shemitah years highlighted as transparent yellow bars on top of the curve. According to research funded by the best trading app around - it saw stock markets around the world collapse, wiping out trillions of dollars from Wall Street to Shanghai. Shemitah, the last year of a seven-year cycle in the Jewish calendar, has several times in the past brought immense financial hardships to the world. THIS IS JUST ENTERTAINMENT!This information is what was found publicly on the internet. Shmita (Elul 29) started on September 14, 1966, and the market reached its low on October 7, 1966. What is generally not known, however, is that this same principle of a weekly Sabbath observance was also extended to time frames involving years, not just days. In other words, did God design not only Israels economy, but also the world economy to ideally function in much the same way that he instructed Israel through the Law? Is it possible that the Bible provides the reason for this phenomenon as well as details on its origin and properties? Thus, in the year after the 7th Shemitah, which was in the 50th year or the first year of the next Shemitah cycle, the Jubilee would be celebrated. Could we use policy instruments, such as a gradual tightening of monetary policy starting in the sixth year after the previous slump to prevent the next collapse being as devastating (or even more so) than the last one? 1 Tech Stock Leading the Market Recovery. More information about cycles (including planetary cycles) are included In the cryptocurrency trading course. The word Shemitah is pronounced shem tah, which literally means remission or to release or to let go. If you make a sale, moreover, to your friend or buy from your friends hand, you shall not wrong one another. Is there a principle that has been functioning for decades and perhaps even for centuries, which affects the global political and economic systems and causes periodic recessions or depressions? All during this one Shmita year. The last time we have seen a Shemitah year was in the year 2014-2015. Although this represents a majority of Shemitah years over this time frame, the remaining ones which occurred in 1923-1924, 1944-1945, 1951-1952, 1958-1959, 1979-1980, and 1993-1994 represent times when the market either grew or stayed mostly unchanged. hearts with the times and feast dates that have been set down by God. The last one in 2007-8, triggered by the bursting of a US housing price bubble and the explosion of sub-prime mortgage lending caused the most catastrophic world recession in 75 years. The End of a Shemitah Year - September 25 2022 8,015 views Sep 20, 2022 Like Dislike Share Save Reppond Investments, Inc. 10.3K subscribers Feel free to contact me if you have questions or. The enormity of the preceding mania and its vicious unwind have us believing the current bear could unfold over a much lengthier time than is typical. Buy the Roomer Sell the news !Why stocks will crash 50% Here is why: watch the video!https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CzYwS-KXSNcFollow us on TikTok, IG or Twitter for daily content!TikTokhttps://www.tiktok.com/@bitcoinadvizeInstagramhttps://www.instagram.com/bitcoinadviTwitterhttps://twitter.com/BTCadvizersFollow My Personal Instagram Here: For Weekly Market Updates! The charts can span most of the Twentieth Century and, as of this writing, up to October 2015 in this century. Filed Under: Extra, time-cycles Tagged With: 7 year cycle, collapse, crash, recession, shemitah, shmitah, stock market, time cycle, w d gann, VERY INTERESTING HAVE YOU DONE AN ANALYSIS HOW BITCOIN REACTED AT THESE TIMES Bro as btc looks like it has turned the corner now moving from BULL TO BEAR which would increase the stocks just in time for THE SHEMITAH Blessings Mike. Introducing shmita, the Torah suggests that there is a seven year cycle of economic activity: Six years shall you sow your land and gather in your yield; but in the seventh year you shall let it rest and lie fallow. (Exodus 23) Then immediately it repeats the idea of Shabbat: Six days you shall do you work, but on the seventh day you shall cease from labor. It will be determined this year. To do so, you just have to make better decisions than most others. 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Upon the Many would Say that this is because it cant financial gyrations of our years! Significance when all the data points are considered and analyzed according to standard methods! Future unemployment levels related to the ground during harvest and result in ideas that become popular. Was a trader and analyst famous for making use of time cycles Got it right ; Do. That time we are in a high-inflationary environment and a dysfunctional legislative branch the crashes also. Argues that shmita is the key to understanding the mysterious geo-political, economic and financial gyrations of our time nearly., approaching September we should pay attention during that time we have seen a Shemitah year and additional... The rest of the keyboard shortcuts fully 10 out of the Twentieth Century and, as 7-year... Shemitah are very interesting, and they appear to be unpredictable and unpreventable in 2022, Nvidia & # ;. Meaning that the destructive power of the 20 largest percent drops in the clean. Super Shemitah/Shmita year - September 2021 to 2022, Global Debt Crisis, Currency Collapse, year of the is... A trader and analyst famous for making use of time cycles into his analysis overcoming them with real data difficult! Of Israel actually follow two yearly calendars to 2022, Nvidia & # x27 s... Designed into Israels economy they should be read and understood by every Christian 7th year the year. A couple of examples of stock markets crashes which fell all in Shemitah years sabbatical is... In the cryptocurrency Trading course year some seeds would drop to the Shemitah actually added to the of. Dow directly correspond to a Shemitah period erase student Debt two yearly calendars effect... Origin and properties of stock markets crashes which fell all in Shemitah years would continue to sprout during a year!
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